A third of Russian regions are threatened by overstocking of the apartment market in new buildings

08:44; 17 June 2025 year

In Russia, about 30 regions show signs of significant overstocking of apartments in the primary market. This is reported by «Kommersant».

According to analysts, in five regions - the Orel, Penza and Chelyabinsk regions, Karachay-Cherkessia and the Krasnoyarsk Territory, the volume of supply significantly exceeds the level of demand, and the risk of an overproduction crisis in new buildings is estimated to be high. In 28 regions, including Krasnodar Krai, Leningrad, Sverdlovsk and Novosibirsk regions, the risk is assessed as "quite high". In 21 regions, including the Moscow Region and St. Petersburg, the risk is assessed as "medium". In other regions of the Russian Federation, the risk of overstocking in the new building market is assessed as "low" or "fairly low".

Analysts calculated the probability of a market overstocking crisis based on the ratio of the withdrawal of new projects and sales rates, the ratio of regulatory and actual sales of new buildings, and changes in weighted average prices.

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